Deadly Disguise Precon – Deck List, Card Predictions & Possible Reprints

Murders at Karlov Manor is next on the Magic: The Gathering docket. The murder/mystery-themed set takes place on Ravnica and has a complete product line-up, including four commander decks. Today, I’ll review everything we know about the Deadly Disguise precon and make predictions for what we don’t know. Let’s start with some basic info.

Murders at Karlov Manor is set to come out on February 9, 2024, and has four preconstructed commander decks. Deadly Disguise is a Red, Green, and White (Naya) deck themed around disguising cards & big surprises.

That’s about all the info we have for sure. Today, I’ll cover what “disguising cards & big surprises” could look like and how the theme could be built. Plus, give you cards to consider picking up before the Murders at Karlov Manor precons drop, possible reprints, and even a complete Deadly Disguise deck list prediction. So, let’s dive in.

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander Deck - Deadly Disguise (100-Card Deck, 2-Card Collector Booster Sample Pack)
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02/18/2024 08:37 am GMT

Deck Strategy

If you check out the outer box for the deck, you can see the “disguising cards & big surprises” that I mentioned. This points to a morph-like theme where you can play your cards facedown and turn them up later at a cost. However, most morph decks play blue, and there aren’t many reasons for them to be in red.

The lack of blue (and the addition of red) is interesting and could point to a few things. It could mean some sub-themes with things like manifest and foretell, which also play cards facedown. But again, they usually play blue. Naya is a pretty creature-heavy color combination, and the “big surprises” indicate some large creatures.

Update: 1/19/24

With the face commander for deadly disguise revealed, we have more info on the theme. Let’s take a look.

deadly disguise face commander kaust eyes of the glade

Kaust, Eyes of the Glade draws you a card whenever you deal combat damage to a player with a create that was turned face up that turn. Card advantage in the commander zone is always powerful and Kaust fuels itself by tapping to allow you to turn an attacking face-down creature face-up. You can certainly see where the surprises come from now.

Considering the deck is Naya (hybrid mana, no less!) I think a +1/+1 counter sub-theme is a good possibility as well. So, let’s break this down in a bit more detail. I’ll go over how the deck will likely disguise its cards, some creatures that would be helpful, and how a +1/+1 counter theme could come into play.

Disguise Your Cards

ainok survivalist
scroll of fate
mastery of the unseen

If your cards are facedown, opponents don’t know what they’re attacking into. This bit of hidden info makes other players’ lives hard. Plenty of cards also have an upside when they’re turned face up. Plus, things like Mastery of the Unseen and Path of Mystery further reward you for flipping your cards up.

Play Beefy Creatures

temur war shaman
akroma angel offury
yedora grave gardener

The majority of morph creatures are on the smaller side. However, this deck sounds like it will play some bigger stuff. This likely means the deck will have a healthy ramp package to get to its more significant spells quickly. I would also expect to see some other support cards, such as Rhythm of the Wild.

+1/+1 Counters Theme

hooded hydra
hardened scales
hidden dragonslayer

Anytime you have green and white in your color identity, you’ve got +1/+1 counter synergies if you want them. There is also some overlap with the megamorph mechanic, which puts +1/+1 counters on the creature when it flips. This would also allow the deck to play lovely utility cards like Inspiring Vantage, Dromoka’s Command, and Unbreakable Formation.

Possible Reprints

The average precon these days has about $95 worth of reprint value. Usually, a handful of cards make up a nice chunk of that. So, assuming I’m generally close on the theme, here are some ideas as to what those pricer, more exciting reprints may be.

Related: Deep Clue Sea Precon – Deck List, Card Predictions & Possible Reprints

Cards You Should Pick Up Before Deadly Disguise Releases

Let’s assume you want to pick up Deadly Disguise when it drops and do some upgrades. Here is a small list of cards that I recommend you buy now so there’s no chance the release makes them more expensive. For example, [c]Tribute to the World Tree would be great in a deck like this but likely wouldn’t make it into the precon.

Here are some other examples that I recommend you get now, assuming I’m accurate on the theme:

Deck List

Now, I want to take a crack at predicting what a complete Deadly Disguise deck list may look like. So, this won’t be an official WOTC deck list yet. These are my thoughts on what we might see come February. Remember that 10 cards in the deck (including the commander) will be new so I’m including a 90-card list here.

Deadly Disguise

Artifacts (5)
Arcane Signet
Dream Chisel
Scroll of Fate
Sol Ring
Ozolith, the Shattered Spire

Creatures (23)
Ainok Survivalist
Deathmist Raptor
Den Protector
Hooded Hydra
Nantuko Vigilante
Salt Road Ambushers
Temur War Shaman
Thelonite Hermit
Whisperwood Elemental
Yedora, Grave Gardener
Jeering Instigator
Akroma, Angel of Fury
Master of Pearls
Daru Sanctifier
Aven Liberator
Karona’s Zealot
Dawning Purist
Weathered Bodyguards
Ashcloud Phoenix
Stormcrag Elemental
Exalted Angel
Herdchaser Dragon

Enchantments (5)
Obscuring Aether
Trail of Mystery
Uncivil Unrest
Rhythm of the Wild
Mastery of the Unseen

Instants (7)
Swords to Plowshares
Beast Within
Boros Charm
Sylvan Reclamation
Return of the Wildspeaker
Inspiring Call
Unbreakable Formation

Sorcery (12)
Rampant Growth
Three Visits
Soul Summons
Blasphemous Act
Fierce Invocation
Branchsnap Lorian
Aven Sunstriker
Generous Gift

Land (38)
Blossoming Sands
Boros Garrison
Cinder Glade
Command Tower
Evolving Wilds
Exotic Orchard
Graypelt Refuge
Gruul Turf
Jungle Shrine
Kazandu Refuge
Krosan Verge
Myriad Landscape
Naya Panorama
Rogue’s Passage
Rugged Highlands
Selesnya Sanctuary
Sungrass Prairie
Terramorphic Expanse
Zoetic Cavern

End Step

WOTC usually does a pretty good job with the preconstructed commander decks, and I’m sure these will be up to par. The Deadly Disguise precon is the one I’m most interested to see what they do with. Mainly because morphs typically play blue and black with commanders such as Kadena, Slinking Sorcerer. So, I’m curious to see what a Nayabuild for a similar mechanic may look like.

As always, watch for the official deck list to drop. And when it does, you’ll find it here. Until then, take care and get out there and play some commander.

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Geno Doak

I started playing Magic in 2015. I love all formats but I particularly love to play and build decks in modern. Pretty much every part of my life has been influenced by Magic in some way or another. It is something I am very passionate about. RIP Simian Spirit Guide.